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I think you may be a bit on the low side for software profits and like you mentioned accessories which are extremely profitable. 3rd party licensing is also a pretty big number. Although I think you're margin is a bit high for the European consoles, since there are things like VAT and other things that drives up the cost.

Overall, good attempt. Nintendo's estimates have always been overly conservative, so beating them is not a high hurdle. One of the biggest factors will be the value of the Yen, but that affects Sony just as much.