Will PS3 < $200 US before Next-Gen?

[misterd]

I think a $100 drop per year is a reasonable expectation. So:
2006-2007: $600
2007-2008: $500
2008-2009: $400
2009-2010: $300
2010-2011: $200

I can't see anything that would STOP Sony from slowly cutting prices, though intense competition or total collapse/clearancesale could push it faster.