Xbox 360 is at a Mass Market Price -- But Are YOY Sales INCREASES enough?

[mrstickball]

kitler53 said:

Squilliam said:

Mrstickball said:

"One should remember that, in America, the average price for a X360 in January (as per NPD) was $263 USD. So Arcade penetration is something fierce now"

 

average cost = [(a%*360T)(200)+(p%*360T)(300)+(e%*360T)(400)]/(360T)

where: 360T= total 360 sales, a% = percent of total sales by arcade, p%=percent of total sale from pro, e%=percent of total sales from elite

1 equation - 3 unknowns means this isn't enough information to prove your claim.  so do you have facts to support your claims or not?  so far you don't.

Just because you have 3 unknowns doesn't mean that you can't have baseline numbers for the minimum number of arcade units sold per month.

If you used the assumption that 0% of the ultra-expensive Elites were sold (which any sold would drive the Arcade ratio up), and that all units sold were either Arcades or Pros, you'd end up with Arcades selling 37% of all Xbox 360's sold in January. That's the worst case scenario for Arcades.

Now, the next assumption would be reasonable: that 10% of all units sold are Elites...Which has been the average from my understanding. If value e was assumed at 10%, then the Arcade marketshare would be closer to 47.5%/42.5%/10.0%.

So worst case scenario would be 37% for Arcade sales, and best case (assuming the Elite didn't sell more than 10% of all consoles, which is doubtful it'd be higher), at 47.5%

So pick a number between 37-47.5%.