The thing is this bodes well for The Conduit.
1. It has a lot of hype just like Metroid Prime 3 did and is on a larger install base so its first week sales will be above 250k - probably between 300 - 400k and being exclusive will only help it more
2. It'll have a major advertising campaign unlike both these games which will give it more sales from launch
3. It's a mainstream game unlike Metroid FPS will always outsell FPA unless something changes in the future. It's also not a gimped version of a HD game, it's exclusive.
4. It'll have good word of mouth and hence legs just as CoD is seeing on Wii.
Some thing like this perhaps?
That's the best case scenario for The Conduit unless it has bundling etc IMO







