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its got a shot at it, though part of me thinks HOTD overkill has a part to play and i'll explain how, over the last week sega have been advertising HOTD like crazy, i've seen more ads for it than probably any other sega game apart from mario&sonic, so if HOTD (which is probably sega's first big hardcore game on the wii) sells well they'll probably put up a lot of money marketing the conduit giving it a good chance of selling very well, however if HOTD doesn't they probably wont bother spending much to push the conuit and it'll be destined for mediocre (though not bad) sales