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HoTD has huge mainstream appeal. Most people have played HoTD in the arcades at some point. An all new HoTD should easily outsell HoTD 2&3 putting it over 1m no problem.

Tenchu - poor support from Ubisoft, little know franchise, crowded shelves but different enough to stand out, will do mediocore sales 200-250k

Deadly Creatures - IF THQ does some creative TV ads for pre-teens this might do okay, but okay probably doesn't justify the cost of TV ads so probably sub-200k. If it came out last fall when there was no competition it would have stood a chance but for the next couple months, competition is fierce for Wii owner dollars looking for a solid game.