goddog said:
not too long ago....(summer o8)... people were laughing at the idea there could be the possibility of the 360 hitting 50 mil, im going to have to go back and look at my old numbers from the summer and find out were i was but i know it was above 50, and i gave price cuts product revision estimates. |
Hey, back in Summer 2007 I pegged the X360 at 45-50 million, Summer 08 it had increased to 50 million being my probable guess..... now it's between 55 and 60 million.
This little boost it has had is not a life renewal, yes it's doing very well, and 14 million this year is certainly possible (though someones 17+ is way out of reach IMO) but that won't stop it dieing as it gets old in the minds of consumers.... it is pretty much certain to double what the orignal xbox managed, and with only 1.5 times the time on the market, which is excellent going.
Perhaps I am being a little pessimistic just as I was last year, likely because I don't see the appeal of the X360, it is a non-console to me, I defend it on this site a lot because there are a number of delusional PS3 fans who think PS3 is going to rise from the ashes and somehow catch up the the X360 this year, or start claiming that there some kind of huge ravine between the graphical capabilites of the two when tbh most games look almost identical.... but in truth te PS3 is something I would consider buying (if I had no other console and it wasn't so stupidly expensive) wheras the X360 I could barely name 10 games I would buy even if I had a list of them in front of me.
So perhaps I am pessimistic, but I can tell you it will not be selling reasonable numbers like 6 million in 2012 unless there has still not been a new console out, and certainly won't sell 12 million in the years after that because there will be at least 1 new console out by the end of 2012 if it hadn't happened already.
