Year on Year - The Big 3 So Far

[Cueil]

TWRoO said:

townzy89 said:

This will be 360's Peak Year. 1.2m in one of the slowest months.

expect 14m+ for 360 this year. next year will be fairly flat 10 - 12m

then decrease fairly rapidly

2009 - 14m

2010 - 11m

2011 - 8m

2012 - 6m

2013 Onwards - 12m+

Total - 78m +

Thats fairly optimistic especially saying it will sell around 4m a year after next gen starts for 3 years.

80m Would be max. 60m absolute Min should get 70m

thats almost 3X first Xbox.

What the hell?

That's not fairly optimistic that's hugely so.

I am expecting more in line with:

2009 - 12.5m
2010 - 9m
2011 - 6m
2012 - 2m
2013 onwards - 1m

The X360 will not exceed 60 million.

 

That's kind of crazy... only 12.5 millino this year?  It'll easily do 14 if not more though I pegged it at 13.5 in my prediction I've a feeling that it's going to beat last years numbers by a decent margin and Sony's fincial troubles will help it out even more.  It's likely that 2010 will see another price drop if not the introduction of solid state hdd and a new sku that is smaller with the cpu and gpu on the same chip.  The price will likely hit 180 if not 160 and then in '11 it'll probalby go down to 120(for the Arcade model of course).  This will keep demand from dropping off like you show it.