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shio said:

I made a list of the most anticipated games from 2009. I listed the games that I expect to have the most success, in order.

Action

  1. Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2
  2. Quake Live
  3. Killzone 2
  4. Half-Life: Episode 3
  5. Resident Evil 5
  6. Street Fight IV
  7. Wolfenstein
  8. Bioshock 2
  9. Halo 3: OSDT
  10. F.E.A.R. 2: Project Origin

Action-Adventure

  1. Bionic Commando
  2. Mafia II
  3. I am Alive
  4. APB
  5. Alan Wake
  6. Tom Clancy's Splinter Cell: Conviction
  7. Uncharted 2: Among Thieves
  8. Beyond Good & Evil 2
  9. Grand Theft Auto IV: The Lost and Damned
  10. Prototype

Adventure

  1. Heavy Rain
  2. Gray Matter
  3. Still Life 2
  4. Love
  5. Culpa Innata 2: Chaos Rising
  6. Runaway: A Twist of Fate
  7. Ceville
  8. The Secret Files 2
  9. Sherlock Holmes vs. Jack the Ripper
  10. Simon the Sorcerer 5

Simulation

  1. The Sims 3
  2. Spore: Galactic Adventures
  3. Jumpgate Evolution
  4. Storm of War: Battle of Britain
  5. Spore Creature Keeper
  6. Infinity: The Quest for Earth
  7. IL-2 Sturmovik: Birds of Prey
  8. Heroes Over Europe
  9. Digital Combat Simulator: Black Shark
  10. Lore: Aftermath

Sports

  1. Wii Sports Resort
  2. FIFA 2010
  3. Madden NFL 2010
  4. PES 2010
  5. Punch-Out!!
  6. Football Manager 2010
  7. Tiger Woods 2010
  8. NCAA Football 2010
  9. Fight Night Round 4
  10. Football Manager Live

Strategy

  1. Starcraft 2
  2. Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II
  3. Empire: Total War
  4. Demigod
  5. Anno 1404
  6. Cities XL
  7. Halo Wars
  8. Command & Conquer: Red Alert 3 - Uprising
  9. Stormrise
  10. Battleforge

RPG

  1. Diablo III
  2. Dragon Age: Origins
  3. Guild Wars 2
  4. Dragon Quest IX
  5. Aion: Tower of Eternity
  6. Champions Online
  7. Alpha Protocol
  8. Mass Effect 2
  9. DC Universe Online
  10. Final Fantasy Crystal Chronicles: The Crystal Bearers

Racing

  1. Gran Turismo 5
  2. Need for Speed Shift
  3. Burnout 6
  4. Dirt 2
  5. Forza 3
  6. Formula One 2009
  7. Fuel
  8. Need for SpeedWorld Online
  9. Race Pro
  10. Wheelman

KZ2 on PS3 outsells RE5 on PS3/360? that's a high expectation. Also, probably not necessary to have Action-Adventure games and Adventure games.

It's highly unlikely SC2 and Diable 3 would both be released in 2009.

Both Dragon Age Origins and Guild Wars 2 need to sell more than 4 million copies in order to outsell DQIX since DQIX would sell 4 milion copies in Japan alone.

 

 



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.