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I think Manhunt sales will reflect nothing other than if Wii owners want AO near content. Manhunt 1 didn't exactly reflect GTA sales...

You guys are missing two huges points. GTA is vastly popular with more casual gamers since you can just dick around for however much time you have to spend. Those people are buying Wiis and Rockstar is losing huge sales if they don't put GTA on Wii.

Second GTA still (is the only thing that) sells well on the PSP. The last couple games to the PS2 were PSP GTA ports. Hopefully they'll design for the Wii and degrade to the PSP not the other way around, but either way, PSP GTAs will also start appearing on the Wii. Count on it.