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Vas-y said:
Erik Aston said:
Looks like VGChartz overtracked more than undertracked.

DS Games 15
undertracked: 10, overtracked: 5

Wii Games 11
undertracked: 7, overtracked:4

 

 

Not quite. You can't compare shipment numbers to sell-through this directly. Depending on several factors, VGC numbers should be a good clip behind Nintendo's shipment numbers.

Overtracked are:

New Super Mario Bros.
Mario Kart DS
Nintendogs (unless it reached total sell-out, which it certainly didn't)
More Brain Training
Pokemon D/P
Personal Trainer: Cooking
Mario Kart Wii
Wii Fit
Super Smash Bros. Brawl
Super Mario Galaxy

Right on:

Brain Training
Pokemon Mystery Dungeon 2
Pokemon Platinum
Pokemon Ranger
Animal Crossing: Wild World
Wii Sports
Wii Play
Wii Music
Mario Party 8

Undertracked:

Kirby Super Star Ultra
Mario Party DS
Rhythm Heaven
Super Mario 64 DS
Animal Crossing: City Folk
Link's Crossbow Training
Super Mario Sluggers

Furthermore, consider that some of the undertracked games like Kirby and AC, launched right into the holiday season, and so could easily have overshipped. Mario 64, LCT and AC are the only ones that could be undertracked by roughly 500K. Meanwhile NSMB, Pokemon D/P and Cooking were probably all overtracked by roughly 1m units, which is a significant amount versus the 9-month sales of those games.

 

Title Nintendo VGChartz
Brain Training 16,82 16,73
New Super Mario Bros 17,63 18,39
Mario Kart DS 13,79 14,02
Nintendogs 21,67 21,66
Pokemon Mysterious Dungeon 2 4,40 4,11
More Brain Training 13,27 13,70
Pokemon Platinum 2,40 2,29
Kirby Super Star Ultra 2,19 1,87
Mario Party DS 5,49 5,15
Pokemon Diamond / Pearl 16,48 17,31
Rhythm Heaven 1,71 1,45
Personal Trainer: Cooking 1,68 2,56
Pokémon Ranger: Shadows of Almia  1,80 1,68
Super Mario 64 DS 7,16 6,58
Animal Crossing: Wild World 10,57 10,38

Next Wii.

Title Nintendo VGChartz
Wii Sports 40,50 40,44
Mario Kart Wii 13,67 13,82
Wii Fit 14,01 14,15
Wii Play 20,91 20,25
Super Smash Bros Brawl 8,10 8,38
Animal Crossing: City Folk 3,22 2,24
Wii Music 2,50 2,20
Link's Crossbow Training 3,44 2,87
Super Mario Galaxy 7,66 7,90
Mario Party 8 6,28 6,10
Mario Super Sluggers 1,21 0,75


"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."

Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.