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Oyvoyvoyv said:

You know, after saying almost everything that can be said about a subject, and presenting it in an awesome way, saying "what do you all think" isn't really going to get any more info in.

Well, I actually have something.

Through March 2007, Sony had shipped 1240M software for the Ps2. http://www.scei.co.jp/corporate/data/bizdataps2soft_e.html

That means we can expect it to end at ~ 1.3B software.

Do you really expect the Wii to sell almost 50% more than that (median of your projection).

Looking at it like that, your projection for Wii seems a tad high... I'm not really sure...

Edit: Added a link to my Ps2 shipment claims.

You should take your time to look at that link you posted more.... because there is some other info.

First of all alarm bells should be ringing if you think the PS2 hasn't managed to ship 60 million units of software in the last 20 months, and second of all that website gives shipment data for PS2 software (proper, retail shipments) for the last 2 years: http://www.scei.co.jp/corporate/data/bizdataps2soft_sale_e.html

True, the two different types of data should (product shipment and sales to retail) not be put together for making anything accurate, but I am pretty confident that with the last quarter added the sum total of 1240m product shipments, and the last 7 quarters of retail shipments will add up to around 1480 million.