i have a bet for you all...

[Oyvoyvoyv]

I'm going to have to agree with Montana (and the OP, but for the same reasoning as Montana, so I won't be writing what he wrote a second time).

Well, to an extent. I don't fully agree with the OP / most other people on a few things. 

 

I believe Mario Kart Wii will sell between 9 and 9.5 million in 2009.

On a single platform, the best non-Wii was GTA IV 360 with 6.7M.

 

I don't think any new single-plat in 09 has a shot of beating that, except for Wii Sports Resort. So I doubt any game at all (save for Wii Fit/Play/Sports/Resort) will beat 7M on a single platform. Well, maybe Pokemon Platinum.

 

Multiplat (Ps3/X360, no others).

Though one... CoD has the disadvantage of releasing late in the year (otherwise it would be very likely to make it).

No GTA to stop it...

I have to say no - nothing will beat it.

 

Overall (all consoles, multiplats).

Again, hard to tell really (well, the other one wasn't really...)

At first, I thought GT:WT had a shot, but seeing as the total sold less than MK last week, I doubt it (it's just 11 weeks, MK is 40).

Then there's WSR, it could really go either way, but it should stick to around 9M. Wii Fit should also stick in the 8-11M area (I have it a lot wider than MK, due to it being harder to predict), and a 11-12M for Wii Play.

So, if you count Wii Play, it wins. Otherwise, toss up between Fit, Kart and Resort.

 

I have one thing to say though, this isn't completely fair.

Most big games release in Oct/Nov. This make them have a 66/33 split in sales (Ps3/X360) between the 2 years. MK gets for the whole year, and gets 100% of it in that year.

 

If you do fiscal year, I wouldn't be surprised if a few games beat it (well, CoD 6 should at least) - and that would be a much more fair comparison.

 

Doing "sales for the Jan-Dec year" gives a flawed picture, as Q4 releases have a major disadvantage.

 

Few games release in Jan/Feb/March, so that would be more fair.

 

 

So, I have a shock to present!

 

I take your bet.

 

But, I change the rules a bit.

 

The combined sales of an X360/Ps3 game will be bigger than the sales for Mario Kart Wii, for the 12 months ending April 1st 2010.

 

Conditions:

If I win, you have to give 2 weeks of sig-control to Noname2200, Khuutra or Makingmusic (I just picked 3, you can choose between them. Chances are 1 could be gone in 15 months too).

If you win, a 3rd party gets sig control for 2 weeks over my sig. I will have to approve of who the 3rd party is (I mean, I wouldn't want Makingmusic, Khuutra or Noname2200 controlling my sig!)