Ron Paul, Snakes on a Plane, and videogame sales.

[richardhutnik]

Slimebeast said:

But it goes both ways. A game can have low buzz but sell well. You need something that can distinguish realistic possibility from the deceitful hype.

For example, the amount of hype surrounding Killzone 2 is enormous. The hype for Halo Wars is quite low.

What if both games end up selling 2.5 million copies? In that case it would have been wrong to take .25 x Halo Wars sales predictions. We need a tool to sort the wolves from the sheep.

But I don't think it can be done.

Well, if normal people, who make up the bulk of videogame sales, are a different species from people who read here (this is very likely), they it is entirely possible that making accurate predictions based on hype, isn't possible.  For people on here, Killzone 2 isn't just a game that is meant to entertain.  KZ2 is meant to be something that proves that the 360 just can't match the PS3, and thus would be a turning point in the videogame wars.  It is supposed to be the first shot of a line of titles that will help to bury the 360 originally, and then the Wii long term.  It is supposed to show that the PS3 will have a 10 year shelf life and its current costs are justified.  For people on forums like this, Killzone 2 is more than just a game.  Oh, also add it is supposed to post GREAT sales numbers, and be a major shot in turning the PS3 into the home for console FPS, away from the XBox brand.

Of course, for most people, it is just a game, and if you see it, and have a PS3, you hope it is real good, so you can get a solid exclusive.