| Stats87 said: By must own title does he mean "a game like Gears of War and Halo?"
Killzone 2 has the chance to be that "must-own shooter", we'll see. But I think the PS3 has a pretty darn good catalogue with games in various genres. |
The thing is that GT5 will release pretty late into the cycle. I know there's a small chance it will make 2009, but from the information we've heard it's not likely. That puts it in 2010, when in all likelyhood it won't matter that much anymore.
The further we go into the gen, the more casual the potential market become, since hardcore gamers will buy early in the generation. GT5 will be great, but PS3 probably won't ever have the competitive pricepoint against 360 and Wii.
Now let's look at the expected numbers for end 2009: Wii: 75m, 360: 35m, PS3: 30m (it's rounded on nearest 5 million, don't complain about a million or 2 more or less). That's 140m combined end 2009. Last gen combined was 180m. I know the industry is growing, but with 50m PS2's in America alone, don't expect this gen to be 100m bigger than the last. Let's assume a total of 200m consoles for this gen. That means 60m "left" to sell after 2009. How many of those late deciders will be affected by GT5? I don't think a whole lot, again since these are the people that bought a PS2 late in the gen last time, because it had all the casual games. It's almost a given that Wii will take some 40m out of my expected 60m.
Killzone looks great and will sell some consoles, but in all honesty: It would sell loads more on 360. That's where the shooterbase is. Fans of that genre already have their system of choice and I don't think Killzone 2 will change that.
