Prediction: Xbox 360 will not fall below 200k any time 2009...

[Zlejedi]

numonex said:

5 to 10% is reasonable error rate. Squilliam's prediction was only 1.5% off the 200k weekly total. 98.5% is fairly good in my opinion.

You are missing the point - he used "never" in the topic title which implies absolute certainity :)