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It will be close.

January 21 - Skate 2 (NA)
January 23 - Skate 2 (EU)
February 5 - Demon's Soul (JP)
February 10 - F.E.A.R. 2: Project Origin (NA)
February 12 - Street Fighter IV (JP)
February 13 - F.E.A.R. 2: Project Origin (EU)
February 13 - Eternal Sonata (EU)
February 13 - SOCOM: U.S. Navy SEALs Confrontation (EU)
February 17 - Street Fighter IV (NA)
February 19 - Sonic Unleashed (JP)
February 20 - Disgaea 3: Absence of Justice (EU)
February 20 - Street Fighter IV (EU)
February 24 - The Godfather II (NA)
February 26 - Yakuza 3 (JP)
February 27 - Killzone 2 (NA/EU)
February 27 - The Godfather II (EU)
March 3 - MLB 08: The Show (NA)
March 5 - Resident Evil 5 (JP)
March 12 - Warriors Orochi Z (JP)
March 13 - Resident Evil 5 (NA/EU)

Weekly sales have just evened out so if Sony can manage to stay the course like they have been so far, they'll scrape by.

America and Others will be hard to maintain, but big releases such as Killzone 2 (+Europe Bundle) and Resident Evil 5 should keep PS3 just above where they need to be in these regions.

Sony's best hope comes from Japan. Between big releases such as Demon's Soul, Yakuza 3 and Resident Evil 5 along with three bundles (RE5, Yakuza 3 and FFVII:ACC) Sony should definitely perform better there than they did last Q1.

I think it's worth reminding that Sony definitely doesn't HAVE to sell 150,000 every week. The release weeks of Killzone 2, Resident Evil 5 and Final Fantasy VII: Advent Children Complete will almost definitely have Sony well above 150,000 which will offset weeks where they dip under, and there will definitely be weeks like that.