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Sales - America up - View Post

billsalias on 22 January 2009
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BHR-3 said:

Before you start getting all indignant you should try a little harder to understand what someone says. The math is fairly simple and makes sense if you read what I said about percentages versus absolute numbers. As the total sales goes down the gap can be smaller to maintain the same percentage advantage. If 360 sells 10 and PS3 sells 5 the gap is 100 percent even though it is only 5 units. So to layout it out exactly for you:

Last week:

360 = 257k, PS3 = 199k

That results in the 360 outselling the PS3 by 29 percent as computed by 257/199 = 1.29.

 

This week we are looking at 189k 360 and 132k PS3 so far.

With my numbers of 24 and 12 that would result in 201/154 = 1.30 or 360 outselling PS3 by 30 percent, one more then last week.

With your numbers of 20 and 7, we get 196/158 = 1.24 or 360 outselling PS3 by 24 percent, 5 less then last week.

If we average the two you get 198.5/156 = 1.27, or a 2 percent decrease.

In any case not enough data or significant enough change in any direction to indicate a trend.

And before you start calling me on my numbers I dropped fractions for clarity so it may be 30.6 or 30.1 percent.

 

 

yeah watever u say with that high tech math i was just trying to say that the gap the 360 outsells the ps3 ww is getting smaller from were it used to b during the holidays and in the 1st 3 weeks in Jan going from about 85k the 1st week to 57k last week and now down to 45k this week all i was trying to say is that i think soon the 360 won't be outselling it WW weekly my guess would be sometime in Feb or Mar.

Something else to Ponder the 360 only managed to out sell the ps3 by 24k with the 360 arcade being half the price 200$ less than the 80g and the pro and elite being 100$ less than the 80g and 160g it will be interesting to see wat will happen wen a ps3 sku gets down to 299

Something else to Ponder NA # looking really low compared to EU for all three consoles are economy is in bad shape

 

High tech math? I used only addition and division.

 

Anyway one more try at explaining the concept. The percentage gap is what matters not the absolute gap. As my earlier example showed, you can be outselling something but a smaller number of units but maintain the ratio of sales. For a simple example:

100k to 150k is the same 2 to 3 ratio as 50k to 75k, which is the same as 25k to 37.5k. So even though the the absolute gap is shrinking from 50k to 25k to 12.5k the sales the ratio is holding so there is no change in the relationship between the two. So in our current example a drop in the gap from 57k to 45k is only meaningful when compared to the total sales for the respective week.  As my math above shows, last week 57k was 29 percent of PS3 sales so if the gap ends up at 45k this week then to maintain 29 percent gap PS3 total would have to be 155k and 360 total 200k. If the numbers work out to something near that then there was no change in the relative sales of PS3 and 360.

As far as the question of what will happen when the PS3 is $299, sales will go up. The more interesting questions are how much, from what low and how will MS react. Of course no matter what either of them do they are not making any inroads on the Wii, they are really only taking market share from each other.