| bigjon said: in a sense you are, people are predicting where the PS3 "should" be. I am not saying those numbers are right per say, but I was just trying to make the point (initially) that not all system see the same drops % wise (as a few indicated earlier). Now I am trying to help people avoid using year over year to say where something should be today. One thing to consider, also one factor different for the PS3 this year (another reason why yoy is faulty) is that last year it got a bigger holiday boost mucg like the 360 did this year from a price reduction. There was none of that this year. That alone makes it hard to impossible to predict what the PS3 will do this year (based on yoy).
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Yes, there are more factors, although YoY helps a lot in predictions... It's a baseline for expectations, upon which you add the differences you can see during 2009. Now what are those differences from early 2008 to early 2009?
On the positive side, I can see:
- The PS3 has more games. (anything else?)
On the negative side, I can see:
- The recession making PS3's price seem worse
- The $400 price has been active for one more year
- Some of the competition (360) is cheaper
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