NA Sales UP! -- Boring days BEGIN!

[bigjon]

NJ5 said:

bigjon said:

NJ5 said:

@bigjon: I think YoY is quite useful for any period of a month or more, the holidays definitely apply. Why do you think companies always do YoY comparisons on each quarter?

I cant see why it is so hard for you all to believe it is selling steady?

It is not selling steady as you can see in the territory-per-territory comparison (even accounting for the 2-day difference, it's still noticeably down in Others). Of course the next few weeks will also be telling.

 

 

 yes yoy is good for evaluation, but not good for estimation or prediction, like I say to many factors change.

NOW I am reffering to yoy for indvidual systems, yoy for the aggregate market works fine for the most part for prediction (although major macroeconomic changes could alter things, like say a financial crisis, or terrorist attacks or something).

Things work for the most part Like, saying software will double, oct to nov, then from nov to dec. But that does not work as well for (or at all for smaller units).

I don't think anyone is using it for predictions, except perhaps to say that PS3 sales should be down YoY since they were significantly down during the holidays.

 

in a sense you are, people are predicting where the PS3 "should" be.

I am not saying those numbers are right per say, but I was just trying to make the point (initially) that not all system see the same drops % wise (as a few indicated earlier). Now I am trying to help people avoid using year over year to say where something should be today.

One thing to consider, also one factor different for the PS3 this year (another reason why yoy is faulty) is that last year it got a bigger holiday boost mucg like the 360 did this year from a price reduction. There was none of that this year. That alone makes it hard to impossible to predict what the PS3 will do this year (based on yoy).