Will 2009 Be the Year the Wii Sells... "Normal"

[bigjon]

Normal is in like the PS2 did. See here

http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS2&reg2=All&cons3=PS2&reg3=All&weeks=200

Right now the Wii is tracking well above the PS2 (the PS2 is thrown off alittle because it launch in Spring in Japan, thus the fact that it does not line up well with the Wii.

I mean, I think we Nintendo fans have been a bit spoiled as of late, would it be the worst thing if the Wii started selling like the PS2 did in its prime? I mean the PS2 is the best selling console to date. Nintendo is getting close to passing their last 2 consoles combined here in the next few months, maybe we should chill. You know, the Wii will not sell like this forever, and you know the HD consoles will say the Wii is a fad if it on sell 45% of the 2 hd consoles combined for an extended period.

I am just saying, the 360 has peaked or is peaking, but the PS3 has it best life ahead of it (not really saying too much).

I really dont see the Wii maintaining its ungodly sales like the DS has, because the Wii actually has real competition. The PSP has not been competition for the DS since their 1st year when people were predicting the PSP would bankrupt nintendo (nintendo was surviving a bit off their Handhelds).

So here is my prediction, the Wii beats last year Yoy(because production is higher) until May (when WiiFit launched) then it trends under it for a while, and Wii become accessible during the summer at most outlets (in stock), then Next holidays actually see slighly better sales because there is more stock left over from the regular months.

09 Will be the best year of the Wii (due to much better Q1 and 2), but I think it will be in stock for pretty much March-Nov.

I actually see things in Japan slowing down a bit in the next few months, maybe hanging around 25k a week or so, then REALLY picking up when MHg, tri, and more info is released about DQX. Overall 2009 "should" be a bit better in Japan than 08 was.

Things that could really through this off, well, a price drop would do wonder to get more casuals and younger gamers on board. A 149.99 price tag would send the Wii through the roof again. I guess colors too, I never cared for them, but I guess some people do.