PS3 will overtake XBox 360 by December 2009 in worldwide console sales.

[saicho]

lapsed_gamer said:
@MikeB

You seem to like to make predictions based on best-case senarios for Sony and like you said you didn't expect to see the 360 price drop so fast. So here is a "worst-case" senario. What is your prediction if:

The economic solution doesn't improve next year.
The PS3 does not release a slim.
The pricecut doesn't come until Fall and it is $50.
Xbox360 is selling a hard-drive version for $200.
Two 360 games outsell KZ2 for the year.
FF13 and GT5 are delayed.

@MikeB

I would like to know as well.

I can also make a "prediction" that it is possible for 360 to outsell PS3 WW by 5 million units in 2009 IF

1. The economic situation gets worse.

2. no price cut for PS3.

3. Xbox 360 slim is released and available for $200. No PS3 slim released.

4. KZ2 fails to make an impact on PS3 sales. FFXIII, GoW3 and GT5 are not released in 2009.

5. Blu-ray adoption rate slows down and Consumer awareness for Blu-ray remains low.