PS3 will overtake XBox 360 by December 2009 in worldwide console sales.

[Hawk]

MikeB said:

@ FishyJoe

The PS3 did considerably outsell the 360 in Europe last year. The 360 is still a non factor for Japan.

Regarding 2008 holiday sales, I anticipated no economic problems like yen vs dollar exchanges, so I expected a worldwide PS3 price cut by October. I anticipated Final Fantasy to be ready in 2008. I also didn't expect the 360 to sell as low as 119 Euros including 19% taxes including free games, etc.

I have said this multiple times already. Yes not everything has gone according to plan, but for the long run I don't think it will matter that much.

I have listed the factors I consider to be crucial many times.

Am I figuring the numbers wrong?  From what I gather from looking at VGChartz data, the PS3 outsold the 360 by 400k over 2008 in Europe.  That is no where near you prediction.  But maybe I just didn't get the numbers right.

And I'm not sure that explaining factors that contributed to your prediction being wrong, makes your prediction any less wrong.  Though, I haven't thrown out any predictions myself.  Not that I could fault you for being terribly wrong in it, I may have done just as bad in any prediction I made, heh.