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Even if Sony can catch MS, the earliest possible point would be some time in 2010. At that point will it really matter? MS will have been the leader/second for pretty much the entire run of this generation. If Sony can somehow sell a few more units at the end, when focus is switching over to the next generation, it won't retroactively invalidate all the damage that MS [and Nintendo obviously] have managed to do over 3-5 years. Again, that's if Sony can catch MS, which is starting to look more and more difficult.