although I think generally the PS3 has the upper hand here, for I expect the 360 to drop to a ~10k level starting this week (11 weeks to 1 million) and PS3 to ~30k (9 weeks to 3 million), the race is decided by how much of an impact the games have that are released within that timeframe
Naruto: Narutimate Ninja Storm (PS3) will release in "2 weeks" (2 weeks of data) - possibly a small impact on hw sales (PS3 +5k)
Ninja Blade (360) in 4 weeks - I don't expect any impact, for even Ninja Gaiden did close to nothing
Demon's Souls (PS3) in 5 weeks - I wonder if this has any impact
Street Fighter 4 (PS360) in 6 weeks - huge impact, especially for PS3 (PS3 +30k 360 +4k)
Ninty Nine Nights 2 (360) + Star Ocean 4 (360) in 7 weeks - huge impact (360 +30-40k)
Yakuza 3 (PS3) in 8 weeks - huge impact, but I guess by then the race will be over (PS3 +40k)
=> in my opinion this will end in a draw with both crossing their respective marks after 7 weeks (of data)
(there are more game releases for both consoles, but I picked out those that might have an influence on the outcome)
