hmm, I guess the difference is you see a continued decay, and I think the decay will be minimal.
I see it selling 14-20k all year in NA, and 8-14k all year in others during normal weeks with next holidays being about 65-70% of what it was this year.
It is Mario, and possibly the best Mario, I cant see why it would not continue to sell.
Look at Zelda TP, it is hass less mass market appeal than Mario (still a heck of alot, and was a GC port) and still managed 500k in NA alone last year.
I see SMG selling at least 700-750k in NA, and in other it should get around 500k. The next year take about 100k off of each so 600-650 and 400k.
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut
