Can Xbox 360 ship 100 million or where will it end up?

[Bitmap Frogs]

seece said:

Bitmap Frogs said:
Well, let's see... last gen sold 170-180 million units (not counting the dreamcast, all its users either moved to another console or quit gaming in disgust), let's assume we gonna end up this gen at 210 million units. The wii is outselling the ps2, let's peg it at 120M sales... around 90M to split between 360 and ps3.

Nah, I don't see it making 100 million.

 

I believe every gen gets bigger and bigger in terms of sales, not only that but the Wii has opened gaming to new areas of people. The market doesn't run "dry" at anywhere around 200 M

4th: 96 M Consoles

5th: 155 M Consoles

6th: 195 M Consoles

 

around a 60 M leap from 4th to 5th Gen

 

But from 5th to 6th it's only 40M and it's either taking into account the Dreamcast (all of it's users either bought another console or quit the hobby) or the ps2 long tail, which only the biggest name this gen will get.

I can't see more than 90M, maybe 100M tops to be shared between the 360 and the ps3.