Untamoi said:
BTFeather55 said:
NightstrikerX said:
BTFeather55 said:
50 million is about where it will end up because Gears 3 will be on Nextbox and most of the 360 fans will follow.
|
You seem pretty sure about all that. Gears 2 was released what? 2, 3 months ago? I dunno, I don't care for the series really. Logic, Trends, and R&D time-lines all indictate that next-gen won't be for another 4, 5 years? Games take 2 years to develop roughly, espically on a more grand scale like Gears of War is. So, that puts gears of war 3 at roughly 2011? That still seems like 7th generation terrority to me.
|
Yes, but they are going to need a massive game to move a $500.00 console that has the graphics capabilities of the top pc's at the time of its launch. Much as Halo 3 (and Gears to a certain extent) was the driving force behind 360 sales for its first two years. Going into the next gen, and I know Halo diehards will still argue that Halo is still Microsoft's biggest game (but with the loss of Bungie behind that series it really isn't), Gears of War is Microsoft's biggest franchise and the one they will use to create a sizable launch audience for its next console, and I don't see them keeping Gears 3 off the market for longer than 3 years and 2 years is a much more likely number as there were only two years between the first two games.
So, I believe that those are two factors that will have just as much of a decision on when the next xbox is released as does marketshare. The launch window of Gears 3 (it will be Gears 3 on the next box because traditionally trilogies tend to do a better job of retaining their popularity as do series that move into four or more installments...there is a bit of burnout once series move past three installments) and how long they can keep the 360 putting out games that are comparable to pc games in terms of graphics.
A third factor would be if Apple or someone else decided to release a new console in the next couple of years that was superior to the 360 in graphics and that had hardcore type games. That would immediately speed up the arrival of the next gen.
|
Halo 3 was a driving force behind 360 sales for its first two years? That is strange because Halo 3 was released 2 years AFTER 360 launch. So they bought 360 because of Halo 3 although it wasn't even released yet. Even Gears of War was 1 year after launch.
|
I would say that most people that bought a 360 in its early days did so because they knew Halo 3 was going to be on there. The Halo games were by far the biggest games on original xbox. Even before the 360 was out OXM was putting out articles about what they wanted to see in Halo 3, then the big trailer for the game that was unveiled at E3 2006. And leading up to the 360's release if you turned on a television show like Entertainment Today that was running a story on the release of the 360 it would usually talk about how excited young Hollywood stars were to be getting a 360 because Halo 3 was going to be on there. And Gears I might not have been released until a year after the 360 but even on the MTV special prior to E3 2005, they were talking about how Gears I was going to be on the 360.
