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It will ship between 65 million at the lowest end, and 80 million at the highest end.

What I think will happen, shipping wise is this:

2009 - 16 million shipped. Peak year due to strong forward momentum, and a stagnant (compared to 08) Q4.
2010 - 12 million shipped. Starts dropping. MS continues to prop up the console with new games, as they slowly gear up for X720.
2011 - 7 million shipped. Continued waning support as next-gen is incoming.
2012 - 4 million shipped. Still selling
2013+ 5 million shipped. Continues to have decent sellthrough with next-gen in full effect.

That'd put it at 72 million, which is a good middle-of-the-road number.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.