Can Xbox 360 ship 100 million or where will it end up?

[BTFeather55]

thx1139 said:

Lets see the 360 should do 14 million in 2009.

360 had 3 things against it going into 2008 that it does not have in 2009.

1. Fear or RRoD. Contrary to what some Sony fanboys say the Falcon and Jasper 360s have made the worry about RRoD a fear from the past.
2. 360 started 2008 in short supply.
3. PS3 price drops in 2007 made the PS3 more appealing.

So it will definitely do better in Others and Americas. It will also do slightly better in Japan (continuing trend of every year of 360 life).  Since the 360 sold about 12 million in 2008 I expect about 2 million more with a great deal of that improvement happening in the first 9 months of the year.  This will put the 360 at about 42 million at the end of 2009.  With the Pro and Elite still above the $200 price point.

 

      I don't think the 360 is going to be doing much better in Japan this year because they only have one big jrpg left at this point in time.  And FFXIII and Versus XIII both being exclusive to the PS3 in Japan finishes off the 360 in that territory imo.  Especially since the PS3 did much better in Japan than the 360 over this holiday season and since games like GTA sold better on the PS3 in Japan most Japanese studios that choose to work on hd games will choose to make their games for the PS3 rather than the 360 in the coming years.