NightstrikerX said:
You seem pretty sure about all that. Gears 2 was released what? 2, 3 months ago? I dunno, I don't care for the series really. Logic, Trends, and R&D time-lines all indictate that next-gen won't be for another 4, 5 years? Games take 2 years to develop roughly, espically on a more grand scale like Gears of War is. So, that puts gears of war 3 at roughly 2011? That still seems like 7th generation terrority to me.
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Yes, but they are going to need a massive game to move a $500.00 console that has the graphics capabilities of the top pc's at the time of its launch. Much as Halo 3 (and Gears to a certain extent) was the driving force behind 360 sales for its first two years. Going into the next gen, and I know Halo diehards will still argue that Halo is still Microsoft's biggest game (but with the loss of Bungie behind that series it really isn't), Gears of War is Microsoft's biggest franchise and the one they will use to create a sizable launch audience for its next console, and I don't see them keeping Gears 3 off the market for longer than 3 years and 2 years is a much more likely number as there were only two years between the first two games.
So, I believe that those are two factors that will have just as much of a decision on when the next xbox is released as does marketshare. The launch window of Gears 3 (it will be Gears 3 on the next box because traditionally trilogies tend to do a better job of retaining their popularity as do series that move into four or more installments...there is a bit of burnout once series move past three installments) and how long they can keep the 360 putting out games that are comparable to pc games in terms of graphics.
A third factor would be if Apple or someone else decided to release a new console in the next couple of years that was superior to the 360 in graphics and that had hardcore type games. That would immediately speed up the arrival of the next gen.
Heavens to Murgatoids.
