360 as we know has currently shipped 28 million. Topping Xbox'ss 25m already. But where can it end up?
60, 70, even 80 million seem very possible x while 40, even 50 million is an absolute lock. Consider they just got done with their best year ever, shipponXboxn3Xboxuch depends onXboxn Xbox 720 ships as well. I happen to think Fall 2k11 at the earliest. So that would mean 360 has all 09, 010, and most 011 in full force. So I think at least 25m more (10+10+5)=53m, PLUS any sales after 720 is released, which could easily be 10m or more, putting 360 at 60-70m.
A lot depends on these factors:
-Does 360 keep selling well or even accelerating sales as it's price drops, meaning 10+m/year, or even breaking out and doing much bigger numbers such as 12m or 15m/year as it reaches PS2-like critical mass and price points?
-Rather, does it begin to age next to PS3, drop below 10m/year and tail off (a billion PS3 fanboys crave this outcome).
-When does Xbox 720 come out? Fall 09 (very unlikely) 010, 011 (my pick) or even 012?
-Once it's succesor comes out, how much of a PS2 style long tail does 360 enjoy?
One things for sure, it has certainly exceeded my expectations as I originally expected it to ship 40m tops.
