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Firstly, I think it will but anyone thinking it will do it this year must be smoking a very special kind of crack. However without a very significant year on year increase in sales in 2009 i could see the PS3 struggling to sell significantly more than 40 million. I know there is not alot of history to go by but historically third placed consoles don't sell well in their 3rd and 4th years. In short this will be the year that will make or break or break the PS3 and i for one can't wait to see what happens.