forevercloud3000 said:
How does that make sense? By the end of the year alot of things could happen. I firmly believe that regardless of all that is happening that the PS3 will gain on the moementum gained by the 360's price cut. 2007 from October on, PS3 outsold 360 Worldwide. bringing down the massive lead 360 had from the early release of about 6.5-7million consoles. Sony brought that down all the way to 5million and bellow, and some of these sales were going on BEFORE PS3 cut price. 8 months into 2008 is how long this went on for. 360 cut price, cut all the way into the sweetspot of console prices. 200-150 is the price of mass market console selling.If the rules hold true, there is no more price cutting on a console at that price until it is seen as outdated and being replaced by a sucessor. Also, 360s are cheaper to make then PS3s, but not that cheap, MS will be loosing profits too. Now PS3 most definitely is going for another price cut sometime this year. I hypothesis two of them, one early in the year, the other at christmas. It will be (early/late) 50/50, 50/100, or 100/50. So Time has told us that PS3 with higher price point(So SOny is still not loosing money) but reasonably close to 360'd price(cut) equals Sony's PS3 selling more, enough to excellerate a 2million increase bringing 8-2=6million. Yet you must also take in account the accelerated rate of sales do to seasons, and market value of the consoles. 360's sales sped up faster the usual this christmas, so in effect I believe the PS3's sales will speed up as well this year enough to give another million to my hypothesis. So in turn you get... -Maximum:7million -Minimum:5million |
You keep basing your predictions on the end of year differences. What year is it presently? What is the gap presently? What can be the ABSOLUTE minimum maximum prediction? 8 million!
