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I'm not going to try to estimate, but I will state this.

Last year, there was a very long period when Sony was catching up with Microsoft. They closed the gap from an initial 7m to 5m.

Then Microsoft pulled a price cut. 360s started selling a little more.

Then Microsoft released the NXE. 360s started selling a lot more.

Now the gap is 8m - more than it was when the PS3 launched. And it's continuing to grow. I'm not sure what's going to happen, but if Sony doesn't pull some very big changes, the 360 will continue expanding that gap.



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