Will the PS3 EVER reach 40 million?

[Final-Fan]

abcdario said:

Lord N said:

[...]

It will be around for at least another three years, so even if sales dropped off by 30% and it only sold an average of 7 million per year and died off after the 2011 holiday season, it would easily reach 40 million.

[...]

Je je je, not a math guy here, if the PS3 sells 10 million and we see a 30% fall in sales, it wont sell 7 million year after year, it would like " 7 Million for 2009, 4.9 million for 2010 and may be the same 4.9 million for 2011", i dont think it will sell less than 5 million a year cause not even the GCN fell that bad (or ... was close :P)

Ah, about "The next generation", i think it will start by the end of 2010, the X360 would have reached theis 5 years cicle and i bet they want to get rid of the RROD, besides that, the more time they give to the Wii competing with those 20th century controls, the less chances they will have to over take that pattern.

His math is fine.  You just don't like it.  And the 5 year cycle is a myth, 6 years is much more common, and 7 is quite likely for the 360 since most of its contemporaries launched a year later.