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Avinash_Tyagi on 30 December 2008
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Bodhesatva said:

The best part of this is that he believes that the fact that the Wii is selling well right now strong evidence that the Wii will collapse and stop selling almost immediately.

That is the greatest logic I've ever seen. "Well, this thing was really popular two Christmases ago. Then it was really, really popular last Christmas. This Christmas, it's been really, really, really popular. Therefore, clearly, this is about to stop selling."

Or, using numbers, if Product X sells 2 Million units one year, then 4 million the next, then 6 million the next, it's clearly about to stop selling.


Can someone make a data line out of that? Just make a simple graph. It doesn't even need to be precise, just a general graph. Show that graph gradually increasing in sales in the "real" part -- where we have real data points -- and then when you get to "projected" portion of the graph, show the system immediately and drastically drop in sales.

 

 I think someone did a couple of pages back



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)