Nintendo Wii: Facing the Inevitable

[Bodhesatva]

The best part of this is that he believes that the fact that the Wii is selling well right now strong evidence that the Wii will collapse and stop selling almost immediately.

That is the greatest logic I've ever seen. "Well, this thing was really popular two Christmases ago. Then it was really, really popular last Christmas. This Christmas, it's been really, really, really popular. Therefore, clearly, this is about to stop selling."

Or, using numbers, if Product X sells 2 Million units one year, then 4 million the next, then 6 million the next, it's clearly about to stop selling.

Can someone make a data line out of that? Just make a simple graph. It doesn't even need to be precise, just a general graph. Show that graph gradually increasing in sales in the "real" part -- where we have real data points -- and then when you get to "projected" portion of the graph, show the system immediately and drastically drop in sales.