| bigjon said: Ok, so I have been trying to get a feel at what this week will look like as far as software and hardware data will be, and to tell you the truth I can really make up my mind. Last year the week for cmas to the week of cmas saw a drop of about 50% for both SW and HW in NA, while others saw a drop of about 40%. BUT this year was a leap years so therefore there were 2 more full days of shopping in the week of cmas before cmas. Also, so last year we had Sunday and Monday, then we had the 26th on a wednesday, a day less people are likely to make a big shopping day than a friday. This year We had Sun-Wed of pre holiday shopping and the days right after cmas fell on a weekend, which should help sales alot. Now, there is really no way in my mind that we will se an increase because there was 1 less day in the week (cmas), but from the reports I am hearing the 26th was extra big this year, and in places where BF does not exist it was the biggest shopping day of the year. So this is what I think, Due to the fact the 2 out of the top 3 shopping days in the year fell in last week, and the perfect placement of CMAS as far as sales go, I think maybe sales might only be down 10-15%. But that is just a guess. Wii HW is really impossible to guess seeing that Nintendo could have flooded the Market sun-wed and sold them all, imo the only console that might be stable or even increase is the Wii, but Wii SW will still be down 10-15%. Then, again there could be less shipments (did not seem like it to me however, as every store in my town it seemed got a major wii shipment sun-tues). Of course I could be wrong and sales could be similiar to last year (although for reason I mention will be better no matter what) so worst case scenario, 30% drop in NA, 25% drop in other... |
Great anylysis! I think you may be right, at least I hope so. It would be nice with one more week with huge sales
