50 million consumer Wii sales at end of fiscal year, possible?

[misterd]

bigjon said:

yushire said:

BengaBenga said:
It's more or less a certainty because Nintendo's projection is 52 million April 1st 2009 and Nintendo always is very conservative in its shipment estimates.

 

 So Nintendo are conservative at that estimates? So they really think they can sell more than 52 million Wiis at the end of the fiscal year?

 

 remember, even though wii sales are extemely high, there is always the possibility they could be higher, remember wow many though ioi was too high for Nov... then he ended being 400k low for US alone. December is a bigger month and being off by 300k, found be less than 10%, it would take just a 20% error and the Wii could end up being 600k higher.

 

 

The math backs up Nintendo.

They sell out every month. They make 2.4m Wii's each month. End of fiscal year is in 4 months:

 2.4 m Wii's x 4 mos = 9.6m Wii's

At the low end Nintendo has 44m Wii's by end of this year, and another 9-10 would put it safely above 52.