ummm. I am pretty sure if the conduit sells 500k both companies will be okay. the Conduit is a big budget game as far as 3rd party Wii games go... I mean they may only break even at best with the conduit, but I do not see it having the risk that Haze and Lair did (I am willing to bet those games cost 2x as much to make as the Conduit)
Basically, the conduit's budget is top the line for the Wii. But if it had the same budget and was a HD game it would be middle of the line, like say maybe DMC or something slightly big but nothing like GTA4 or MGS4 or Halo or whatnot that HAD to sell like 2 million just to break even....
You see I think HVS is pretty smart on this, they could use a budget that is unheard of for the Wii get lots of hype, and maybe have a runaway hit, there is really no competition in what they are doing, OR they could use the same budget to make a "good" HD game that would stand out in no way and get swallowed up by the plethora big budget games.
They are betting that the fact that there game will be head and shoulders above all other 3rd party projects on the Wii will help it overcome and hardcore deficiancies the Wii may have.
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut







