| toastboy44562 said: killzone 2 wont hit 3 million, mabye 1.5 million, but the rest seems right. |
You need to take a heavy rain check (haha, I just noticed my subliminal advertising :p).
Uncharted reached 2.4 mil with an atrocious launch and 0 adverts.
If Killzone 2 opens with your suggested 350k and is advertised on tv (which is a guarantee, considering how Sony have promised to get hardcore with their marketing in 2009), how will it fail to get any further than 1.5 mil LTD?
Even if it somehow sold a pitiful 11k in America and 12k in Europe weekly, it would hit 1.5 mil exactly 50 weeks after launch.
Anyway, back to the thread topic:
GT5 and FFVXIII are absolute locks.
Then I'd be very confident of KZ2 surpassing 3 mil.
I'm not sure about God of War 3. It seems its strongest continent is America, where the PS3 hasn't been hugely successful. I'd say this will probably be between 2 and 2.5 mil after one year, and then maybe dribble over the 3 mil mark after 2 years. Or I could be totally wrong and a huge Christmas tv campaign could ensure a huge opening followed by decent sales week in, week out.
Uncharted 2, hmm... really don't know. On the one hand, a lot of sequels don't outsell their predecessor. On the other hand, Among Thieves' opening will definitely be a lot larger than the first. Still, even then it will need good legs. I'm 66% sure it won't hit 3 mil. I hope I'm wrong though!
inFamous I really can't see hitting 3 million. I think it'll probably do 1.3 mil LTD. Then again, inFamous could be the next 'Uncharted', a la slow opening but glorious legs. But I'm fairly confident of 1.3 mil LTD.
I'd say 'no' to WKC, Trico and Heavy Rain. Unless Trico turns out to be designed with great mainstream appeal. Just don't know anything about it really.
