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Oyvoyvoyv said:

Depends...

Zelda is a series that has come close to killing itself 2 times.

 

First with Zelda: Adventure of Link. If it hadn't been for ALttP being as awesome as it was, it wouldn't have seen as stellar sales.

 

Then with Majora's Mask and The WindWaker, if it hadn't been for TP being as stellar as it was, sales wouldn't have been as awesome.

 

Generally, every time the Zelda series has done something "new and exiting" it has come close to killing itself (as in, hurting its sales a lot). As this time, they're doing it in a bigger scale than ever before, there's an even bigger risk of sales being crap. Of course, the game being on Wii (rather than GC) helps a lot.

 

So potentially, the next Zelda Wii could go as low as 2.5-3M in sales. 3-4M is more realistical though. Still, for Fable 3 to outsell this is very possible.

I take umbrage with this, sir. Ocarina of Time changed things up more than any other game in the series, excepting Adventure of Link.

And Wind Waker still broke nearly 5 million sales, didn't it?

Edit: And Hell, Majora's Mask lower sales could at least partially be blamed on needing that damned RAM expansion pack for the N64.