Will the PS3 fall below 15% marketshare in Americas in 2009?

[misterd]

seece said:

misterd said:
Absolute worst case scenario for Sony:

Let's assume the PS3 market bottoms out and does horribly - say 5m or so in sales.

Let's assume the 360 has its strongest year at 15m.

And the Wii a terrific year with 35m.

The final totals:

PS3: 25m
360: 40m
Wii: 80m

The PS3 still has 17% of the market share, and that's under what I consider to be unrealistic conditions.

 

I guessed you missed the part were this thread was about Americas eh?

 

 

Yeah I did. Was alternating between posting and fixing breakfast.

Let's see - just under half of Wii sales have been in the US, so let's chalk up 37m for the Wii.

And 57% of 360 sales are American, so 20m.

And finally, about 38% of PS3 sales are in the US, so that's around 9.7m

That'd give the PS3 a 14.5% market share, if everything broke against it - PS3 losing sales 50%, 360 increasing sales 50%, and Wii increasing sales by more than 50%. Again, that scenario is highly unlikely, and even so the PS3 just slips under 15%. So still, the answer is no.