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Bboid on 27 December 2008
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sieanr said:
Bboid said:
arsenicazure said:
Japan and south korea already have amazingly fast and high broadband penetration-- you can find 1Gbps lines in japan for under 60 bucks:>

http://tech.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=08/09/27/1757211&from=rss

Thats around 100MB/sec which means a 10Gb game should take approx 3-5 mins tops to download.

Localized regions of geographically small countries is not a convincing argument. These countries also happen to hard the largest tech infrastructure budgets in the world since they are also home to a few of the largest tech companies in the world.  Find me cheap broadband in Swaziland.

Yeah, swaziland has seen amazing bluray sales...

The developed world is the target market for BR, which just so happens to be the same market with high speed internet.

 

You missed the point.  The point is digital distribution will never take over the whole market because an incredibly small portion of the developed market has a highspeed internet infrastructure to support large file transfers.  This small portion of the developed world that can support speeds around 100mb/sec is smaller than the portion of the undeveloped world that can even afford the luxury of even having this content.  A hard product will always be a viable medium for this reason and will always share the market with digital distribution.  Anyone that thinks 1 or the other will reign supreme is not considering the real world constraints.  BR penetrates more than the current target market, as it can support the under-developed world for many years to come.  DD for similar data size/material has an incredibly small market right now though it will conitnue to see growing market share.  Despite their growing market share they still will not penetrate the under-developed world and even much of the developed world for a very long time.  It is very doubtful that the global infrastructure in the developed markets is completely overhauled and upgraded to support these size data transfers in the next 25 years.  It will always remain in tightly localized markets within these developed nations.