mrstickball said:
It's the same method the movie industry has. It's a industry-wide practice to consider 'average' a movie that has a 3x LTD after it's first weekend in the theatres. Anything less is bad, anything more is good....With the full gambit of various legs (worst being around 1.8x and Titanic being around 30x). And I do agree the T-100 or T-50 is a viable way of gauging some games but not all. What about a game like Scene It? It's been nowhere in either chart, nor even on the X360 top-lists, but still managed a 37.5x multiplier to date....In North America alone, and outsold it's debut last week - 1 year and 1 month after it's debut...Again...Nowhere in the Top-100..It's not even in Microsoft's own Top-50.
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I would think "My Big Fat Greek Wedding" has to have the "legs" record for movies.. It opened with like what 4 million and did over 200 million.
Also imo the best way to see if bundles are diluting is sales is to ask whether or not it cost more to get the game with the bundle. Most PS3 bundles cost more. I paid 499 for the 80gb MGS bundles, but they are usually a good deal. The Forza 2, Marvel UA, Sonic Tennis, Kung Fu Panda, and Lego Indy this is pure dilotion. They dont charge a cent more for game bundle.
WiiSports is an interesting one. The Wii is cheaper in Japan where it is not bundled, and most people want the game (do you ever see pile of WiiSports in Gamestop?)... Although WiiSports would not be at 40 mil, the wii would not be where it is without the bundle for sure.
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut







