I think Bioshock will end up doing 400k first week, but ioi numbers will be lower (350 k) (remember the early release by one shop? Just a guess).
Metroid will do about 380k because it doesn't has a full week. I think a lot of people waited for a game with FPS elements for the Wii. So i expect this one to hit big time and hitting even more in Europe :)
Join up to the VGC Mario Kart Wii GP European League!
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Or the VGC Mario Kart Wii GP American League!
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