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Final-Fan said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Final-Fan said:
It was one thing for Avinash to have insanely optimistic Wii predictions -- when we really had no idea how high demand truly was. But these insanely PESSIMISTIC 360 predictions only make Avinash look very, very foolish.
I'm not being pessimistic, i'm being realistic, this is 360's fourth year, and there will be likely be a slowdown in its sales, so 35 million as the top of the range is not unrealistic at all

10 million in 2008 being followed by 3 million in 2009 isn't "slowdown", it's DEATH.  You're predicting that the 360 will just DIE in 2009. 

Check out the way Gamecube sales went.  The 360 will more probably sell like it did in 2007, or at worst 2006.  What DID it sell in 2006/7 anyway?  I don't know but I know it was more than 3 million.

 

 Umm, 360 has sold 26.7 million so far, so 35 million would be about 8 million next year, so between 3-8 million in 2009, is not unrealistic, yes, 3 million is worst case scenario, which is why it is at the bottom of the range



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)