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Adjusted for a full week I'm going to guess MP3 should do at least as well as SPM which sold to 9% of the Wii install base. My guess for Bioshock is that it will be like Lost Planet which sold to about 7% of the 360 install base but will lose 1/4-1/3 of those sales to the PC.

That would put them at:

MP3 - 350-430k (390k)
Bioshock - 300-400k (350k)