Wii: 77
360: 39
PS3: 32
I think with a $50 price cut and some great games the PS3 will briefly be ahead of the 360 then level off by end of year to a nearly dead even race with 360. I do not think MS will cut price unless Sony does better then I expect.
I am assuming the Wii supply increase is permanent and that we are going to see a soft landing for it this year as it begins to meet demand. It will level off at about 30M a year for a couple of years before a slow decline.
I do not think PS3/360 will falter as much as 2nd and 3rd place have in the past because of how different they are from the Wii. I expect all 3 consoles to settle in to a consistent weekly market share by end of 2009 of about 21/21/58 and stay there until someone release a new console.
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